IMD predicts more rain in Uttarakhand and UP on Saturday

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has warned of the continued severe rains in Uttar Pradesh and Uttarakhand on Saturday.

On Friday, a hefty rain (over 204 millimeters in just 24 hours) was recorded in a variety of locations throughout Uttar Pradesh. Fatehpur Tehsil (290mm), Ramnagar (270mm) and Haidargarh (210mm) — all located in Barabanki district were one of the most wet areas in the country during the day. Lucknow (airport) registered 160mm of rain.

At present, Uttar Pradesh and its neighbouring areas are still submerged under the direct influence of the marked low-pressure region which has been present since Thursday.

“As the well-defined low-pressure system is reshaping towards UP and will remain at the same location, UP will continue to receive rain until Saturday. The intensity of rainfall, following it will begin to decrease after Sunday,” said Anupam Kashyapi the head of the forecasting of weather at IMD, Pune.

The current low-pressure system possible to be only the second synoptic system (low pressure/depression.) in June that has caused rain over UP. Overall, the season has seen a lack of rainfall throughout the state, and it remains one of the most dry areas in the nation. The state is yet to experience normal rainfall during the season. As of Friday, the the UP’s rainfall status was 39 per cent. the state currently receiving 427mm of rain.

In the meantime it is reported that the Southwest monsoon remains active across large areas of central India including parts that lie in the north Konkan along with Madhya Maharashtra, UP, Madhya Pradesh and Gujarat.

There is currently an area of trough between the west-central Arabian Sea till the system over UP that is attracting humid westerly winds out of to the Arabian Sea landwards, prevails. In addition the monsoon trough that extends towards from the southern part of its usual place of operation, which provide favorable circumstances for monsoon season to be active to vigorous in the western and central India regions through the weekend.

With IMD’s Extended Range forecast (ERF) which suggests a possible formation of a new low-pressure area in west central Bay of Bengal by September 18, there is likely to be more rain over the Central India region from September 20. UP is likely to be a beneficiary of the coming storm, and also.

“Though UP received good rainfall on Thursday, and is likely to get more rain over the coming weeks and beyond, the current deficit could be decreased. However, it won’t be sufficient to meet the deficit of the season as norms are at a high level,” Medha Khole, senior meteorologist at IMD, Pune, said.

This year, UP has consistently maintained an unsustainable deficit that ranges between 40-46 per cent which has severely hampered its paddy farming.

With only a few days remaining until the monsoon season begins and another low-pressure system expected to form in the Bay of Bengal, its direction and intensity will decide when the monsoon will begin its end.

Based on the ERF according to the ERF, there is a possibility that the monsoon will recede from the northernmost regions of the country in the end of September.

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