The India Meteorological Department (IMD) said on Monday that rainfall is expected to be normal across the country for the third consecutive month this monsoon.
Apart from this, the cumulative rainfall in August and September will also be normal in India. Quantitatively, the rainfall would be between 94 and 106 per cent of the long period average.
Normal or excess rain is very likely over Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, Gujarat, Rajasthan, Punjab, Haryana, Delhi-Chandigarh, Jammu and Kashmir and Uttar Pradesh. But Maharashtra, Coastal Karnataka, Goa, Kerala, Odisha, Jharkhand, Bihar, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram and Tripura will receive below-normal rainfall in August.
“The areas of Uttar Pradesh, Jharkhand and Gangetic West Bengal will see some good rains during August. IMD Director General Mrityunjay Mohapatra said that it will meet the prevailing rainfall deficit since June this year.
The Monsoon Trough, which is currently lying north of its normal position, will start moving southwards from August 5. Mohapatra said, “With this rain will start again in central India.”
The rains in July this year have been unique in many ways. This is the first time since 2005 that the country’s July rains ended with a surplus of 17 per cent. With 42 per cent additional rainfall, this year was the warmest place in central India since July 1992.
In contrast, eastern and northeast India saw a rainfall deficit of 44 per cent, making it the driest July in 102 years, IMD officials said.
Such vast rainfall variation was attributed to the prolonged stay of the Monsoon Trough south of its normal position and the formation of four low-pressure systems, resulting in a total of 21 low-pressure systems against the normal of the three low-pressure systems. There were pressure days and 14 associated days in July.
This led to localized flooding in Gujarat, Maharashtra and Rajasthan, while dry weather continued for most of the day in Bihar, Uttar Pradesh, Jharkhand, West Bengal and some areas of northeast India, IMD officials said.